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Karl Rove: Biden's midterm message got me thinking

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As Election Day approaches, the Democratic outlook is bleak, with recent polls showing the New York governorship is also in jeopardy. In this issue of the Fox News Power Rankings, the five Republican races in the Northeast are swinging and there are signs of a potential rift in Oklahoma's gubernatorial election.

Congress: GOP continues to march to defeat majority, Senate still in the lead

DEMOCRACY SENSE MAGGIE HASAN PROCESSING EXPECT BIDEN ADMINISTRATION TO DO MORE TO LOWER ENERGY PRICES

© Fox News Democracy 2022 Power Rankings: House GOP Leadership Predictions. Fox News

Republicans will now have a 16 -seat majority in the House of Representatives for a total of 233 seats, with Democrats holding the remaining 202 seats. This is an increase from last week. This projection has a margin of error of about 17 seats, meaning Democrats or Republicans could win 17 more or fewer seats than the numbers shown in the calculations above.

BLACK REPUBLIC CANDIDATES WANT "HYPOCHRISTIC" BLACK GAUCUS TO BACK WHITE PRINCIPAL BULL.

© Fox News The best case for both sides on Election Day. Fox News

The "best case" table now shows how the margin of error can be played either way. A big night for the Democrats will keep the party in power with 219 seats; The two-seat majority is slim, but enough to tire the GOP. A good night for Republicans would give them a 32-seat majority, or 249 seats.

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For the GOP, that growth comes as the party gains success in national polls. Two weeks into October, our Fox News poll shows Republicans leading the poll among voters who say they will "definitely" vote in the midterms. A number of polls now reporting results among "certain" or "likely" voters show the GOP holding a slight lead. It comes at a time when millions of Americans are at the polls. Barring a surprise in late October, it's hard to see how the race for control of Congress could change course.

WASHINGTON POST Columnist on 'How Democracy Dies' If GOP Wins Upcoming Midterm Elections

© Fox News Senate election projections show the GOP with a slight lead. Fox News

There was no change in the Senate's view. A runoff between Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania Democratic Senators. Raphael Warnock and GOP challenger Herschel Walker are likely to be in Georgia as Election Day approaches.

New York: Gov. Kathy Hochul is struggling with her political life, endorsing Republican candidates across the state

Kathy Hochul is the current governor of New York, but she was never elected. The former lieutenant governor takes office in August 2021, replacing scandal-plagued former Gov. Andrew Cuomo, who has struggled to find his footing. On the one hand, Hochul has built better relationships with state legislatures and local governments (though Cuomo and former New York Mayor Bill de Blasio have set the bar very low). In turn, Hochule presided over a series of strict COVID-19 regulations amid the pandemic and had to replace his current governor after his first choice was jailed on bribery charges.

KARI LAKE DEM SAYS ARIZONA WILL MAKE 'CALIFORNIA 2.0' BY KATIE HOBBS

© Fox News Gubernatorial election preview across the country. Fox News

Offense is the most important thing in this race and it's not even close. In a Quinnipiac poll released last week, 28 percent of voters said crime is New York's most pressing problem and inflation is close to 20 percent. Independent has also ranked the best edition with 10 points. Even in Hochul's base, crime is the second biggest problem, with 18% of Democrats citing it as their most pressing issue. Overall, polls give Hochul 50% support, just four points behind his opponent. Polls have consistently shown crime to be an issue in favor of Republicans this term, so Hochul is at risk.

His Republican challenger, Lee Zeldin, made crime a pillar of his campaign on "Fox & Friends," saying he would eliminate no-cash bail and law enforcement officers, among other criminal justice reforms. In turn, Hochul joined New York City Mayor Eric Adams last weekend in announcing 1,200 more police shifts a day to patrol the city's transit system, along with other strategies he said would reduce crime in America's most populous city. .

Hochul saw some important benefits. Voters in the cities and suburbs went Democratic, and the Empire State had enough numbers to take over the redder areas of the North. Zeld's vote to cancel the 2020 election and his support for former President Trump, who has a 60% unfavorable rating in the same Quinnipiac poll, will also limit his general election appeal. Hochul still has the upper hand in this race, but it's definitely competitive. New York moves from Solid D to Probable D.

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© Fox News 33 Cage seat remains up for grabs. Fox News

At the state level, the weak candidacy had an impact on House elections, one of the factors driving Republican turnover in New York's three districts.

We begin in New York's 22nd District, where John Katko's retirement has created an open rivalry between two retired military veterans, Democrat Francis Conol and Republican Brandon Williams. The district includes Syracuse and Rome, as well as some suburban and rural areas, and is a highly contested area of ​​the state. Both candidates ran strong campaigns, with Conol describing himself as a moderate on economic and energy independence, with Sen. Joe Manchin, DW.Va. and with Williams, to talk to voters about his experiences running a software company and advocating for them. I will understand their economic problems. A recent poll in Siena saw Williams lead the race by five points (45%-40%), and Hochule's weakness at the top of the ticket had the most pronounced effect on overseas territory. Ultimately, while Williams supports removing some abortion rights, the issue will likely be a focus of the campaign, and Williams says she does not support a national ban. The race remains very competitive, but New York's 22nd District is moving from Toss-Up to Lean R.

FLORIDA DEBATE: DEMOCRATS DESANTIC FOR CHRIST'S 'PROMISE' TO PROTECT MINORITY COMMUNITIES

© Fox News Fox News power rankings for this year's House competition. Fox News

The movement in the Hudson Valley and the 17th district was one of the most Democratic in Congress. Sean Patrick Maloney has represented parts of the district since 2013 and is currently the chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, which is tasked with keeping Democrats in power. A popular centrist, Maloney enters the race as the favorite, but his opponent, Mike Lawler, is running a strong campaign focused on inflation and crime. He has also distanced himself from the MAGA movement in this suburban district, which elected President Biden in 2020. Maloney is the only one 'currently', but much of the territory is new to him post-Reconstruction. The top GOP caucus has poured millions of dollars into the race, which both parties say is highly competitive. Neither side has the overall advantage, so the race goes from Lean D to Toss-Up.

Eventually, two more Republican races flipped in the Northeast, though both remained in the Democratic column. First, New York's 4th District is one of several districts on Long Island. Former Hempstead Mayor Laura Gillen, a Democrat, will face former NYPD detective and fire chief Anthony D'Esposito, a Republican. The latter route is particularly crime-prone, and the race is becoming more competitive as New York voters prioritize all other issues. Gillen has spoken out about schools and workers' rights and has spoken out in favor of abortion, using his opponent's controversial statements about his support for a national ban. The race goes from Opportunity D to Lean D.

JUDGE JEANINE PIRRO CALLS DEMOCRATS TO HELP INFLATION: IT'S LIKE A 'SHELLA GAME'

© Fox News Democracy 2022 Power rankings show predictions of Republican leadership in the House of Representatives. Fox News

In the Garden State, Andy Kim is a Democrat and former national security adviser running for re-election in the 3rd Congressional District. Under the new line, central New Jersey will deliver double-digit votes for Biden in 2020. The threat comes from Bob Healey Jr., president of a local real estate and yacht manufacturing company. He has benefited from heavy outside spending in the race, with more than $650,000 contributed to him so far and another $2.1 million against Kim. Most of the money came from Garden State Advance, a Super PAC that received a large contribution from Healey's mother. New Jersey has proven to be no liberal stronghold in the 2021 gubernatorial election, with both candidates battling for every vote. The race goes from Opportunity D to Lean D.

Oklahoma: Democrats find loopholes in gubernatorial race as local issues take center stage

Joy Hofmeister has been Oklahoma's Superintendent of Public Instruction since 2015. She was also a Republican at the time, but announced last year that she would turn to the Democratic Party to challenge the Governor. vs. Kevin Stitt. What many observers have written off as a back-and-forth campaign has become a flashpoint for Democrats.

MID-TERM VOTING: ANTI-REPUBLICANS MANIPULATING GOOGLE SEARCH RESULTS, MEDIA RESEARCH CENTER SAYS

© Fox News The Fox News power rankings show how some states will elect governors. Fox News

Hofmeister is an effective communicator who sets himself apart from the national figures in his party, who are largely unknown in this ruby-red country. However, the speed of his voice can be attributed to Stitt's hostility towards Native Americans. Early in his first term, Stitt tried to renegotiate a gambling contract with the tribes, they rejected the offer, and it became his worst nightmare ever since. Although they have traditionally shied away from endorsements, the Big Five threw their weight behind Hofmeister at this month's press conference.

Stitt remains the clear favorite thanks to his dominant Republican base and $4 million in fundraising, but the race is competitive. Oklahoma moves from Solid R to Probable R.

Election day is only 2 weeks away

The countdown to Election Day has begun, but voters have already cast their ballots. To date, more than 5 million Americans have voted by mail or in person. Turnout exceeded all expectations in Georgia, but looked poor in Nevada, two critical states going into the final stage. As Democracy 2022 continues, our reporters travel with campaigns and talk to voters in this state and across the country. Tune in to Fox News Channel and check back next Tuesday for the latest Power Ratings announcements.

NBC News NOW Live – October 5

© Getty Images A man drinks coffee and watches the news on his phone.

Despite the constant spread of misinformation on social media, people still use it to get news. And from time to time it comes to you from Tik Tok.

The number of American adults getting news from TikTok has increased significantly over the past two years, according to a new survey by the Pew Research Center. The organization surveyed more than 12,000 adults in the US from July 18 to August 21.

According to the results, TikTok's popularity as a news source is highest among 18-29 year olds. 26% of this group will receive TikTok news regularly this year, up from 18% in 2021 and 9% in 2020.

But the use of TikTok for news is on the rise among other age groups as well.

10% of people aged 30 to 49 regularly receive news from TikTok, up from 6% this year and 2% in 2020. Only 4% of people over 50 receive the news3. Little has changed since last year. . %

According to the study, a third of TikTok users receive news from the app, compared to 22% who reported it in 2020.

But TikTok's profit is another loss for the platform, and Facebook, Twitter and Reddit are seeing a decline in their users' regular news consumption.

According to the study, the percentage of users who say they regularly receive news from Facebook has fallen by 10% over the past two years, from 54% in 2020 to 44% in 2022. Twitter's drop was smaller, 6% lower than in 2020. Meanwhile, Reddit has fallen 5% over the same period.

But despite recessions, the proportion of American adults who regularly get news from all three platforms is even higher than TikTok anyway. Overall, 53% use Twitter for news, compared to 44% on Facebook and 37% on Reddit, and more than 33% on TikTok. But given the decline we've seen, the question is whether TikTok will surpass those numbers, and perhaps when.

Many will be following TikTok and other platforms as they approach next month's midterms. Many have announced efforts to combat misinformation. TikTok claims that political content, paid for by influencers and partners of fact-checking organizations, prohibits the reporting of false information.

Twitter and Meta (Facebook's parent company) have announced similar measures, with the latter saying it will restrict new political ads in the week leading up to the election. Twitter claimed to enforce its "civil integrity policy" by posting links to credible sources of misleading information.

Either way, more Americans than ever are following the road drama on TikTok.

This story was originally published on Fortune.com

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Haas remains one of only two companies without full training for 2023, and most of the issues in the driver market have now been resolved.

See original article to view embedded media.

Mick Schumacher is still fighting for his future in the sport and the American team is still considering whether he deserves a new contract.

Günther Steiner had previously set the criteria by which Schumacher could receive an extension, with greater consistency as one of the key requirements.

Schumacher almost closed the performance gap on his teammate Kevin Magnussen, proving to be as good as his more experienced partner.

Despite this, Nico Hulkenberg is a strong contender to join the team if Schumacher does not stay, with Steiner confirming his candidacy after the summer break.

A new report from Motor Sport Magazine is one of the first to say that Haas have already decided on their pairing for the 2023 season.

© Provided by F1Briefings on FanNation

Although there is no official information, the report indicates that Niko Hulkenberg will be selected as a pilot next year along with Kevin Magnussen.

Hulkenberg still seems keen to return to F1, with Gunther Steiner "impressed by the ruthlessness of Hulkenberg's phone calls".

Some suspected the 35-year-old would be interested in returning to midfield, but the German avoided entering other categories and remained in the F1 bubble, biding his time.

It appears to be the time to pounce, with Haas reluctant to offer Schumacher a contract extension despite the youngster's marked improvement in performance.

This information is somewhat contradicted by reports after the Japanese Grand Prix, which indicated that Schumacher was in talks with Haas for next year, with both sides avoiding serious negotiations over their futures at the start of the season.

Hulkenberg's failure to reach the podium is often noted, but nothing detracts from his successful midfield campaigns with Renault and Force India.

However, Schumacher's struggles from last year cannot be said to continue, so the youngster is certainly giving Haas a headache.

Günter Steiner said he was in no rush to make a decision and had previously stressed that a final decision could be expected in September or October next year.

September is over and November is fast approaching, so the announcement is just around the corner.

Somehow, the wait for the Haas decision continues.

Singapore Grand Prix 2022 Results | Perez wins the weirdest race of the year

All eyes are on Friday's training report as the Cowboys prepare to fly to Philadelphia for the biggest game of the youth season. While Dak Prescott isn't expected to play, he still technically has a chance (even if it's just a gimmick to keep the Eagles on their toes). Jason Peters looks set to take on his old teammates, and CD Lamb is a late addition with a groin problem, although this has happened before and no time has been wasted.

Meanwhile, Stephen Jones schedules Prescott's return, the two defensive stars discuss how the unit works, and Dan Quinn gets a moment to highlight his actions in the studio. Quinn and his coordinator Keelen Moore are already committed to the Carolina Panthers, at least according to the bookies. Cowboys writer wondering if it's finally time for Turpin to attack Dallas this week, Jerry Jones responding to Danielle Snyder's 'dirty' story, Troy Aikman responding to comments he made on Monday Night Football that caused a stir on social media. This and much more in news and notes.

Cowboys Call Duck Prescott and CD Lam Question :: ProFootballTalk

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Lamb's name was a surprise on Friday's training report when he was withdrawn with a thigh injury. Notably, Lamb was also registered with a hip injury on October 6. He also did not practice that day and was interviewed in the fifth week; He played 51 of 55 Snaps against the Rams.

Prescott could be active for Cowboys, Eagles miraculously recovered in last week 6 injury reports :: Cowboys Wire

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Prescott is officially listed as questionable, meaning he could be a starter, could be a substitute for Cooper Rush, or it could all be a weekend mini-game by the Cowboys coaching staff. Micah Parsons and DeMarcus Lawrence got fully engaged on Friday. Rico Doodle left the field with an ankle injury. All Eagles players except defenders Josh Job and Yanarius Robinson are full; Both of these are questionable.

Story continues

Cowboys vice president Stephen Jones 'feels so strong' Dak Prescott starts fighting Bears ::105.3 fan

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The door remains open for Prescott to return to the court Sunday in Philadelphia, but the team's executive vice president said he "mostly feels he will definitely play by the Bears rules." This is a team game on Sunday 8 on 30 October. Jones didn't say anything about Week 7 against Detroit, meaning he may still be in the air.

Cowboys' Jason Peters likely to clash with former Eagles teammate: 'It would be fun to beat them' :: Cowboys Wire

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The 40-year-old has only played 35 times since signing for Dallas and missed last week's game with a rib injury, but Peters is looking forward to a second game against his former club on Sunday night. Mike McCarthy said Peters had best practices as a Cowboy and that the linesman was looking forward to playing his old teammate. "Philadelphia, that's my city," he said, "come back, it will be nice to beat them."

How the Dallas Cowboys And Quinn Stopped Crime :: The Outsiders Football

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The Cowboys lead the NFL with 68 four-man strikes. Sometimes Mica Parsons or DeMarcus Lawrence beat their opponents, and sometimes Quinn finds unconventional ways (e.g. using four defensive ends at once) to put his players in an advantageous position. Either way, the movie shows that winning this game with a number in front of you frees up the rest of the units to wreak havoc elsewhere on the field.

Micah Parsons and Travon Diggs vs. Ducks and Dallas D Ready for NFC East Rival Eagles :: The Pivot

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The linebacker/linebacker duo joined Ryan Clark, Fred Taylor and Channing Crowder for a long and lively discussion about the two players' mental preparations for matchday, the evolution of the team's defense under Dan Quinn, and what lay in the room. . proud. . Step forward to contribute.

Mailbag: Should Turbine get more offensive fire? :: mother

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The threat of a quick comeback seems to be a weapon with the ball in his hands, so why not show more activity in attack? The return of Michael Gallup and the involvement of Noah Brown will likely reduce Turpin's chances, but week six against a fierce Eagles defense could be the perfect time to show Turpin's timing.

Jason Kelsey of the Eagles talks about Jason Peters being in the dressing room :: John Machuta (Twitter)

Week 6 Odds and Predictions :: NFL.com

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Cynthia Frolonde's model shows Philadelphia outperforming the Cowboys 23-21, giving the Eagles a 52% chance of winning. Philadelphia is the five-point favorite. Frölund believes Dallas has a 54% chance of being covered. More / less in the game 42 points.

Consider 2 Favorite Cowboy Helpers for NFC Training Jobs :: Heavy.com

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With the Panthers already looking for a new head coach after Matt Rule was sacked, the Cowboys staff caught the eye. Offensive coordinator Kellen Moore and defensive coordinator Dan Quinn are among the high-profile names Carolina should consider, according to the bookie. Quinn's odds of getting a concert tip are +450 just for Sean Payton; Moore has the 4th best single +600.

Jerry Jones rules out breakup with Daniel Snyder :: ESPN

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When asked this week about reports that Commanders owner Daniel Snyder claimed to have "dirty information" about Jones, Cowboys owner denied the truth of the story. "That's all for me," Jones said during his weekly radio appearance. "I don't have this problem." Jones said he had never heard of a move among league owners to try to fire Snyder.

Troy Aikman Responds To 'Pull Dress' Comment He Made During MNF Broadcast: The Dallas Morning News

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While the Cowboys legend was quick to point out that he "fully supports" the rules protecting league quarterbacks, he admits that officials have taken excessive action, and he believes they are trying to carry out an "unwanted action." He admitted "shouldn't have done the hack" which caused some outrage on social media; Ekman himself described his comments on the sky as "stupid".

The story originally appeared in Cowboys Wire.

Prescott Duck CeeDee Sheep Dallas Cowboys Should Target More CeeDee Sheep | Professional Football Discussion | NBC Sports

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As with any adaptation of a previous work, the Netflix series Sandman has made some tweaks to the original stories by Neil Gaiman. Among them, mystery detective John Constantine was cast as Joanna Constantine, and Dr. Gina Colman played dual roles as her and her eponymous predecessor in the 18th century. Speaking of Constantine, it was recently announced that Keanu Reeves will reprise his role as John Constantine, and Coleman responded to the DC movie news.

In case you missed the September announcement, Keanu Reeves meets Constantine director Francis Lawrence for a sequel written by Akira Goldsman. Reeves was the first actor to play John Constantine on live TV, and two years after finding out that both Reeves and Lawrence were about to face off against Constantine 2 , it's happening now! In an interview with THR, Jenna Coleman was asked how she felt about "meeting" the role of Constantine and somehow taking on the role, and she replied:

Novaya Gusarovka, Kharkiv region, Ukraine – Protests erupted in Russian cities after President Vladimir Putin announced the partial mobilization of his army. As part of the mobilization, military reserves will be sent to the front lines in Putin's war with neighboring Ukraine, a front line that has recently collapsed in the face of Ukrainian counterattacks.

After humiliating defeats on the battlefields around Kharkiv, Ukraine's second largest city, CBS News correspondent Deborah Bata saw how frustrated Putin's forces were on the ground.

Kharkiv, the most heavily fortified Russian base in the occupied northeastern region, fell within hours of being besieged by Ukrainian forces.

Putin mobilizes more troops after dealing with setbacks 04:08

According to him, the six-day operation in the area was led by Lieutenant-General of the Special Forces Taras Berezovets Brigade in Bohon.

"If the Ukrainian army fails here, I think the whole attack is in danger," he told CBS News.

The small village of Novaya Gusarovka has a Russian base called Moskva or Moscow in the line of fire. Russian forces set up their regional headquarters here, but now, looking at the base, Bata said they fled in a hurry, it was like a museum of terrorism.

The cards in poker that were interrupted by the Ukrainian invasion are still on the table where they were thrown. Military rations, gas masks, musical instruments – everything remained in place. It appears that the commanders initially fled, leaving their forces in a nearby camp.

Senior Lieutenant Taras Berezovets of the Bohun Brigade of Ukrainian Special Forces inspects items left by Russian soldiers in a trench who fled the front line in the Kharkiv region in September 2022. CBS News.

Bata followed a long series of Russian trenches dug near the base that Putin's forces had occupied for more than six months. Leave it as is. Food jars, a fur coat, religious icons, and an old typewriter were dropped as soldiers fled.

"Ukrainian forces effectively attacked the Russians," Berezovets told PAT. “Not from the front… they were coming from the side.”

"They ran away from here like mice," he boasts.

The Russians who captured territory in the region must have been one of the elite units of their country, including several paratroopers.

President Biden criticizes Russia and Vladimir Putin in UN speech 05:09

Those Putin now invites to the front lines are much less experienced soldiers, some of whom have never fought. With the Russian army partially mobilized, Putin found himself calling 300,000 men to fight. Some Russians had already been drafted into the army, and all medically trained reservists were ordered to do so immediately.

The move was widely unpopular and sparked protests across the country, with more than 1,300 people arrested shortly after Putin's announcement, according to independent Russian monitoring group OVD-Info.

Russian police arrest demonstrators during a protest against President Vladimir Putin's partial military mobilization amid the war in Ukraine, September 21, 2022, in Moscow, Russia. GT

CBS News reported that Ukraine detained hundreds of Russian soldiers during a raid near Kharkiv. It should be used in a prisoner exchange like the last exchange, which released more than 200 people fighting for Ukraine, including two Americans.

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Watch the full screaming match between Trump, Pelosi and Schumer in front of the camera The Washington Post

Last week, the Gutfeld Late Night Show on Fox News! It marked its sixth consecutive week as the most-watched late-night program, ahead of CBS's The Late Show with Stephen Colbert, NBC's The Tonight Show with Jimmy Fallon and ABC's Jimmy Kimmel Live, but the FNC networks fell sharply. led to So what explains the ratings for a show that debuted exactly a year ago?

Gutfeld's executive producer Tom O'Connor said, "I think after 18 months it became a date"! "Part of the reason is that the audience really connected with some of the new guests we introduced, but they got to see the FNC stars relax for an hour."

One such star on Wednesday night was Fox & Friends co-host Steve Ducey, who made plenty of laughs and a few "ooooo" jokes about Democrats getting "excited about the idea of ​​a red wave" while following Bill Clinton's "blue dress" idea.

Night and day, Gutfeld! It offers viewers a late-night version of The Five with a rare guest cast, featuring Fox News contributors Keith Timpf and George Murdoch (a wrestler known as Tyrus), along with an actor playing a Fox News gadget like Ducey. and comedian Terence K. Williams. Among the guests this week was Jared Kushner, casual in a black turtleneck and jeans.

"You see someone like Dana Perino or Brian Kilmeade, who are naturally funny, sharing the stage with a veteran comedian like Jamie Liso or Joe DeVito, and it works," O'Connor said. “And, of course, the success has a lot to do with the fact that Greg, Kat and Tyrus aren't afraid to speak their minds, usually something unexpected and fun. Ultimately, it's proof that Fox News had the guts to do it. , the show and the producer of this freedom.

Last week, Gutfeld! It was the only late-night show on television to average 2 million viewers (Colbert had a combined audience of 1.867 million, Fallon's 1.481 million and Kimmel's 1.3 million). The Daily Show from Comedy Central didn't come close to that number, reaching 349,000 viewers.

"It's definitely a great place for our writers and producers to take comedic risks (or in Greg's monologues or parodies)," O'Connor said. "It's a traditional day and feels a little weird at night. I really think people appreciate it and appreciate it. Whether they like a particular joke or not, they respect that we're one of the few who do it.

GUTFELD: It was hard to see Zuckerberg online

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Ford Motor said third-quarter operating income will be below consensus due to parts shortages and inflation.

However, Wall Street doesn't seem to care about Ford (brand: F) or its peers. There are some positives to be drawn from Ford's surprise report.

In a statement Monday, Ford said it would not complete production of 40,000 to 45,000 high-margin trucks and SUVs before the end of the third quarter. This car will be ready by the end of the year.

Ford said the production shortfall, combined with $1 billion in higher-than-expected costs, will hit quarterly operating income by between $1.4 billion and $1.7 billion. Before the update, analysts had expected around $2.9 billion in operating income. Based on the median estimate of Ford's new management, the company's operating profit is about $1.4 billion.

In fact, the size of the losses was not that great. RBC analyst Joseph Spak downplayed this, saying the unwritten tools cost the company about $600 million in operating profit, or about $14,000 each. (For the entire Ford lineup, including low-margin vehicles, operating income per unit for vehicles sold in the first half of 2022 is approximately $3,000.)

That $600 million plus $1 billion in higher costs adds up to $1.6 trillion, more than the Wall Street consensus estimate of $1.4 trillion in losses. The bottom line is that Ford beat expectations in the third quarter by about $200 million under normal operating conditions.

This is only a theoretical possibility. However, despite the disappointing third-quarter news, Ford stood by its previous estimate of $11.5 billion to $12.5 billion in annual operating profit. Given the results of the first three quarters of the year, Ford needs to earn about $4.5 billion to reach this figure in the fourth quarter.

This would be a great result. Spak is valued at around $3.1 billion, while the Wall Street consensus suggests an operating profit of $3.2 billion.

Spak estimates that adding $600 million in operating profit from Ford's unfinished vehicle losses to its fourth-quarter revenue guidance would bring its forecast to around $3.7 billion, raising the consensus estimate to $3.8 billion. Ford hopes to achieve much more than that, with a strong end to the year.

Citi analyst Itai Michaeli said if Ford sticks to its full-year operating profit forecast in a higher cost environment, Ford should have a much better product range and better prices than expected. The company's ability to retain its drivers also shows the automaker is not facing a demand problem, he said.

Michael isn't sure other automakers are in the same position as Ford when it comes to costs and parts shortages. But Spak wasn't too worried. "We will not be too quick to predict problems for Ford [other automakers]," the analysts wrote in a report released Monday. "Obviously supply remains volatile, but different issues hit automakers at different times."

Both analysts were upbeat on the Ford news, but not on the stock. Spak rates Ford's stock as a Hold with a $15 price target. Michaeli also assigns a hold rating to the stock with a target of $16.

Ford's update surprised no one along the way. No one is upgrading or downgrading their stock or changing their target price.

Overall, 40% of analysts recommend buying Ford stock. This is below average. The average purchase ratio for S&P 500 stocks is around 58%. The average analyst price target is nearly $17 a share.

Ford shares rose 12.3% on Tuesday to $13.09. The S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average were down 1.1% and 1%, respectively. General Motors (GM) shares fell 5.6%. Shares of Tesla (TSLA) fell 0.1%.

Email Al Root at [email protected]

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